Ocean Racing Club of Victoria
Steb Fisher

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2015 Stanley Notice of Race (V1 00 Final)

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Melbourne to Stanley.

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Melb to Stan map

Ocean Race: 152 nm

Race Start: 2300 AEDT, off Queenscliff on Friday, 30th October 2015

Event Category:  2

 

The ORCV's Melbourne to Stanley yacht race starts off Queenscliff and finishes at Stanley in Northwestern Tasmania. It is held each year on the Melbourne Cup long weekend. 

Please also note, that this is a qualifying race for both of the Melbourne to Hobart races, the Rolex Sydney Hobart yacht race but not required for the Melbourne to Devonport race. However, some crews still choose to do Stanley as practice for Australia's oldest ocean race across Bass Strait- the Rudder Cup.

 

 

 

  

 

  

 

ORCV Melbourne to Stanley (M2S)


Peachy!!!


As in really wet and juicy. Well. It might all be in a state of flux and the tracks show some fairly different ideas as the PredictWind models try to actually determine the outcome of these interesting weather systems. The bit I like is the percentage of time with the breeze on the nose - zero. Me likey that - a lot! May it all come true and may the record be threatened - Peter Blake's Kontrol @ 14:36:15. Let's see...

PWPtLonsdaleForecast

PredictWind's five day forecast for Point Lonsdale.

PWKIForecast

PW for King Island.

PWStanleyForecast

PW for Stanley.

PW40.7Track

Some fairly wide variances in the tracks from the different PredictWind models for a Beneteau First 40.

PW40.7Info

Reaching won't suit this particular type of 40 something, but that is what they're gonna get!!!

PWSC52Track

PW tracks for a Santa Cruz 52 to show what the pointy end of the fleet will be up to. Get the next Bag ready!!! Why? We look like we might need it.

PWSC52Info

8 to 20knots and reaching - hope BBB's crew are reading this!!!! Less of the 8 and more of the 20 eh?!!!!

Cannot wait for the first sked to see what has actually occurred.


Enjoy the sail...



© John Curnow, ORCV Media

Please contact me for re-issue rights.

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M2S

It is with thanks to our friends at PredictWind that we've been able to supply such detailled information for the 2010 M2S.

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ORCV Melbourne to Stanley (M2S)


Deliberating Brass.


Are we a peach or a pear, remains the question?!

The Brass have chimed in with the following, "Well, Well, Well, Well, What to say about the weather... If we start off with the weather map below, it all looks good. Northerly winds followed by a Westerly change going Sou'west after that. Here's the but, and it’s a big but, you will see that there is a blocking high over the Tasman Sea and this is going to change the normal weather patterns over Bass Strait, as it is a blocking high and quite strong."

"Looking at the four day forecast, you will see that a low is forming over NSW whilst we get underway, which will have a major impact over the weather. It will move South over the weekend and the speed at which it moves, will be the deciding factor in the overall equation. My feeling, is that the you will have a great race with little or no wind forward of the beam, but it could come from everywhere as you push further South."

An FDU Warning has also just been posted - Get your sleep whilst going down the Bay!!!!!

"Tactics on a minute scale are going to be critical and trim will be a constant activity, so get the grinders fed and watered early. Be ready for change, because the atmosphere is chaotic, which will keep the NaviGuessers ultra busy." All commentary about Fantasy Land should be levied against them now. Some will be heroes and other, well, not so....

"The current forecasts for the entire race area, as you have below, further demonstrate the fluctuations that will be present. Earlier comments about being West of the rhumbline are rescinded - be East", the Brass finished with.

Victoria. Central Coast, Cape Otway to Wilsons Promontory

Saturday: Winds: Northeast to easterly 5 to 10 knots, increasing to up to 20 knots during the morning, then becoming Southeasterly up to 30 knots from midday.

Seas: Below 1 metre, increasing up to 2 to 3 metres around midday.

Swell: Westerly 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.

Tasmania. Far Northwest Coast, Sandy Cape to Stanley and King Island:

Saturday: Chiefly East to Nor'east winds of 10 to 15 knots, tending South to Southeast from late morning in the West of the sector at 20 to 30 knots.

Seas to 2 to 3 metres in the West, with a Southwest swell of 1 to 2 metres, confused about the North of the sector at first, building slightly later.

msl ana valid 0500 sat

MSLP Chart from 0500hrs Friday morning

4 day forecast m2s

Four day forecast from 0600hrs on Friday.

pw start

PredictWind from 0100 Saturday.

pw sat 1300

PredictWind from 1300hrs Saturday.

pw sunday 0100

PredictWind from 0100hrs Sunday.


Keep a weather eye - more info to come...



© John Curnow, ORCV Media

Please contact me for re-issue rights.

ORCV_IconLR
ORCV_MOC_icon
M2S

It is with thanks to our friends at PredictWind that we've been able to supply such detailled information for the 2010 M2S.

PWindLogo

 

PW0100StartingSatLR

ORCV Melbourne to Stanley (M2S)


The return to Bass Strait.


Melbourne’s Spring Racing Carnival begins in earnest this Saturday. However, well before the horses have had their morning workout, maybe about the time some of the human revelers will have hit their stride partying the night before, the crews in Melbourne to Stanley yacht race will begin making their way to the charming fishing port on Tasmania’s North West coast.

The annual return to Stanley is important, as it is a qualifying race for the larger ones at Christmas time. The crews also make their return to Bass Strait proper, after having the Winter in the relatively more stable and just slightly warmer waters of Port Phillip.

A significant fleet of 32 Vessels will depart the Heads in the dark of Saturday morning at 1230hrs. Amongst them will be the Swan 65 ketch called Independent Endeavour, reigning Melbourne Offshore Champion, Extasea, last year’s Melbourne to Hobart Westcoaster winner, Jazz Player and a big warm welcome to Addiction, back after a makeover, as a result of running aground out the front of Apollo Bay.

Another important vessel returning to Bass Strait is Slinky Malinky. Eric Marsh and the crew took part in the Melbourne to Vanuatu race back in July and valiantly stood by Ingénue when she was in trouble just past Gabo Island. In the process, they earned an awesome amount of respect from peers all over the globe and became the Seamanship Poster Crew, in the process.

Robin Hewitt’s venerable sloop, Yoko, is sticking her nose out in to the blue once more, as they have some very serious business to attend to at Christmas time and are keen to ensure they can take their place on the start line. All going to plan, Robin and the crew will set Yoko off on her 29th consecutive Westcoaster race on December 27, 2010 and for long standing crewmember, Trevor Huggard, it will actually be his 30th time down this challenging piece of coastline.

Before all of that can take place however, the Ocean Racing Club of Victoria’s race to Stanley has to be completed. Returning for 2010, to see if they can once again take Line Honours and the coveted IRC Handicap double is the TP52, Calm. Also returning and from second place last year, is Peter Blake and Kate Mitchell’s Farr52, Goldfinger. If the forecast holds true, with winds squarely on the nose, then their chances of going after the IRC crown improve dramatically.

Gusto, the Open66 and longest vessel in the fleet, will not relish the hard drive South all that well, but her crew may well be eyeing off the return voyage, when the ‘skiff-on-steroids’, as she is affectionately known, will be able to release some of her mighty spinnakers from the hold and take flight. The return voyage is set to become a definitive feature of the ORCV’s offshore races this season, with Dash Backs also being made available. Yachts have up to 24 hours to get underway again and simply notify officials of start and finish times, with the latter line located just outside Port Phillip Heads.

PtNepeanLR

So seeing as most of the racing starts in the dark, I thought it would be good to show it again, so you could show all the ones staying behind and waiting for your return... This is Point Nepean and even though it is a mostly benign day, there's that standing wave over near Corsair Rock.

PtLonsdaleLR

On the other side is Point Lonsdale, the lighthouse of which the Port Of Melbourne use to house Lonsdale VTS who govern the Heads.

Calm is one of the boats doing the dash back and one of her co-owners, Jason Van Der Slot, said “.... we currently have our navigators running models each day. Last week the trip looked like a potential record, with great breezes from the North, but as the data firms up, it looks like we will have to make hay will the sun shines and get as far South as we can before the breeze swings. This is great news for us, as we will be going straight through the finish line and then heading back for the dash. We’re hoping to be back through the Heads by Sunday afternoon, and squared away in our pen, all in time to watch MasterChef, later that night."

The weather is a crucial component of any ocean race in Bass Strait, where things can change as dramatically as they do quickly. As a magnificent science, forecasting is always evolving and delivering more information for review and appraisal. Vice Commodore, Simon Dryden said, "Looking at the long-range forecast, it seems that spinnakers will only be required for the Dash Back race. So for the boats that love going to windward, well, this is your weekend. And yes, I know the crews don’t love it. With the winds starting West of South and then moving further South as time marches on, being West of the rhumbline is the place to be. The big 'but' here though, is the currents around the top of Tassie have to be seen to be believed and can easily put paid, to what was once a winning strategy. So sailors keep working at the gym, pack warm clothes and make it an alcohol free week. Search the Internet for Seal socks if you like warm, dry feet and hands. Wind strength 10-15 strengthening 20 to 30 in the evening..."

So with that tremendous segue just provided, we can say that ORCV supporter, Tidetech have the Bass Strait tides available on regular subscription for $49 a month, $37 for a week or $19 for a weekend. The six-month subscription is $249 and Tidetech very kindly provide a 10% discount for all ORCV Members on this particular option, to ensure they have the best information available to them at all times. Please contact the ORCV office for the code.

Please wander throughout the site here to find out more about the ORCV’s Melbourne to Stanley race and follow the yachts and you can return just as many times as you like.



© John Curnow, ORCV Media

Please contact me for re-issue rights.

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ORCV Melbourne to Stanley (M2S)


Da plane. Da plane...


It's Fantasy Island, of course and Ricardo Mantalban (L) with Hervé Jean-Pierre Villechaize (R - and who had the line) are your actors....

DaPlane

So Boss. If you want to book the bus for the plane... Please let Tony know on 0428 563 228 or Sheryl on 0448 129 292. Da number for da plane is Rex's Call Centre on 13 17 13. Da Plane departs Saturday night @ 1640hrs and then Sunday times are 0830, 1320, 1640 and 1820hrs, so only five flights over that period.

Sheryl Robson also reminds us that Telstra's coverage of the area is best. My Optus does work on the hill and in front of Hursey's Seafood, but not too well elsewhere. Should have seen the position I had to get the computer's wireless BB in inside my room in the pub!!!

"Breakfast for the yachtes will start at 5am till 10am, Sunday and the local paper, The Advocate, should be there", so please support our pals from Stanley, if you're still there. I wonder if there will be that fantastic chowder they used to make, as they threw another bit of Tassie Oak on the fire....

As a complete and utterly useless aside, last time I caught Da Plane out of Wynyard, the race still went to Burnie and as I looked down at The Paddock from my window seat in the turbo prop, I remember thinking OMG, love a bit of kerosine canary action when it looks like that!!!



© John Curnow, ORCV Media

Please contact me for re-issue rights.

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ORCV Melbourne to Stanley (M2S)


Clancy of the overflow.


You'll know him as the voice of Ocean Racing, whether you do the blue water stuff or not, as he was also the person looking after all the boats checking in for the 2010 M2G.

The "he" in question, is Peter Clancy and it is my absolute delight to focus on the guy who does so much and NEVER gets seen. It has been a pleasure to work with him and his methodical and practical brain, which was really proven to me during the 2010 M2AB, where VHF was used for the first time. I know first-hand how little sleep he had during the course of that very much drawn-out race, yet he never complained and always went about the processes that are one of the reasons the ORCV maintains it's impeccable record.

PeterClancyOnFreya

Peter Clancy aboard Spirit of Freya at Queenscliff Harbour prior to the 2010 M2AB

He popped in to see me at RGYC after the M2G and I also got to meet his son, David, for the first time. David sails with our pals aboard Nutcracker. Peter's wife, Rebecca, was also there and it had been a very long tiome since I had seen her at the Raja Muda in Malaysia, when we took Captain Raw's Helsal II up there - (Thanks Bill, that really was one hell of hoot and the sailing was pretty cool, as well.)

Sm3500M2G10-IV208

Our good friend, Melbourne's not-the-oldest-bowman-in-town, Chris Furey, also pointed out, "Not sure if you realised that the guy on the rail, in shorts, is Dave Clancy, son of Peter of ORCV Radio fame. Dave is our onboard Gentle Giant, strong as an ox and moves like a cat - a great guy to have on the end of a halyard or brace when there’s a bit on. Dave sailed in his dinghy shorts right throughout the MWS. Apparently it never got cold enough for long pants!" Well I'll be... 316 Man has a brother!!! (That's bound to make Stephane Howarth feel a little better...)

At any rate, Peter, you are a generous man. Not only of your time, but of your energy. Cheers pal. So when you're radioing in during the 2010 M2S and beyond, you can now picture the man who is also up at all sorts of hours!


More from ORCV land - very soon!

 


© John Curnow, ORCV Media

Please contact me for re-issue rights.

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