Weather  Outlook update for this years races

 For the Cock of the Bay at this early stage, looking like a light ENE maybe 5 kts and as the day advances winds will turn further W at 15 and finishing more S Easterly at the bottom of the bay making for a slow start and great finish. We expect plenty of colour especially at the top end of the bay. Select your mooring carefully as by Wednesdays Ocean race start it is expected NNE at 16 kts or so with just a slight chance of a shower.

For those going to Devonport expect a good, fast run with a finish in S SE fine reaching. Probably sick of changing kites anyway. Could be record breaking material for the right boat.

If westcoaster boats keep at it they might find some fresher wind at times but with a lot of E sector  wind the swells are not forecast to grow much. Maybe by the time getting to the west Tas coast late Thursday it might pay to watch wind shadow and the topography although there may be enough wind to not matter. Well offshore to 25 kts but 16 closer. Friday late and Saturday shows lightening off a way out from the South coast but wind persisting coastwise. The finish is still looking as an east SE direction.

Watching the low well south of Perth but not expected to interfere with the race-still early days. The heat troughs around Australia could also change things yet but the general thrust is slowly settling. 

MSLPThursday2

Have hand drawn a probable front on this map.