Weather Forecast for Melbourne To Stanley Yacht Race
Forecast at 1200 0n Friday 30/10/2015
So Overall things are looking set for a great race across to Tassie. The Predict wind models are all very consistent and you can see from the course tracks they are all following closely the rhumb line. The larger boats in the TP52 size should expect a fast trip arriving by Midday Saturday and maybe threatening the race record. The smaller boats in the Beneteau First 40 range will arrive around 1400 and the latest boats should be enjoying festivities by 2200. All in all a pleasant, fun and fast event for everyone in great conditions
There are currently no warnings for the area between Queenscliff and Stanley for the next 24 hours.
The initial period will be controlled by a high pressure system located over Tasmania. Winds at the start of the race are predicted to be Easterly to South Easterly at 15-20 knots with some strengths to 25 knots. The swell will be from the south west at 1.5 to 2.0 meters. Seas will be 1-1.5m.
During Saturday winds will stay easterly at 10-15 knots increasing to 20 knots. Turning towards the NE in the late afternoon/evening as a trough approaches from South Australia. Swell will continue from the SW at about 1m with seas 1-1.5m.
As the high moves slowly west the following trough will begin its influence into Sunday and will bring winds from the W beginning during early Sunday around 10-15 knots and some chance of rain
So Based on the wind patterns we are expecting a very fast race across to Stanley. If these winds hold the race will break the record. Good luck and fast sailing to all yachts and crews.